Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Portland Timbers to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Timbers to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction
The match
Portland Timbers host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Providence Park. Portland Timbers are 7th with 46 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Timbers's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat San Diego 2–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Chicago Fire 0–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Portland Timbers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Portland Timbers and 1.1 for Sporting Kansas City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Portland Timbers to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Portland Timbers 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Timbers65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @4.65
Sporting Kansas City18%fair 5.60 · @5.30
3.47Expected goals
2.34Portland Timbers xG
1.13Sporting Kansas City xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Portland Timbers 2.3 – 1.1 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Timbers to win✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Half-time result
Portland Timbers ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Portland Timbers – last 5
WLLLW
26 Apr
@ San Diego
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Minnesota United FC
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
2–3
L
8 Mar
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
1.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Portland Timbers to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Portland Timbers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting Kansas City 18%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Portland Timbers 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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