San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: San Jose Earthquakes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVancouver Whitecaps to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps preview and prediction
The match
San Jose Earthquakes host Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Minnesota United FC 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Vancouver Whitecaps's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.7 for Vancouver Whitecaps. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 34%, draw 20%, Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Value angle: San Jose Earthquakes to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Vancouver Whitecaps45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
3.16Expected goals
1.45San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.71Vancouver Whitecaps xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.5 – 1.7 Vancouver Whitecaps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.