New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗38% · @2.56

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction

The match

The Major League Soccer sees New England Revolution take on Philadelphia Union on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).

Form guide

New England Revolution's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Charlotte 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Philadelphia Union's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Nashville SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for New England Revolution and 1.3 for Philadelphia Union. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Win chances: New England Revolution 38%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

New England Revolution38%fair 2.63 · @2.62

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35

Philadelphia Union38%fair 2.61 · @2.56

2.62Expected goals

1.31New England Revolution xG

1.31Philadelphia Union xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–010%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.3 – 1.3 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✗	38%	2.61	2.56
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.28
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	10.45	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Philadelphia Union to win ✗

38%

2.61

2.56

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

76%

1.31

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

58%

1.73

1.75

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

72%

1.38

1.33

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

52%

1.92

1.80

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

73%

1.36

1.28

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

43%

2.33

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗

21%

4.69

–

Correct score

Correct score 0–1 ✗

10%

10.45

–

Form

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union.

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers New England Revolution have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 38%.

How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

3 May	vs Charlotte	1–0	W
30 Apr	vs Orlando City SC	3–4	L
26 Apr	@ Inter Miami	1–1	D
23 Apr	@ Atlanta United FC	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Columbus Crew	2–1	W
12 Apr	vs DC United	1–0	W

3 May	vs Nashville SC	0–0	D
26 Apr	@ Columbus Crew	0–2	L
23 Apr	@ Toronto FC	3–3	D
19 Apr	vs DC United	0–0	D
5 Apr	@ Charlotte	1–2	L
19 Mar	@ Club America	1–1	D

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes