Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEngland to win ✗73% · @1.20
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.44
England vs Ghana preview and prediction
The match
Ghana travel to Gillette Stadium in the World Cup on Tuesday 23 June (21:00 WAT) to face England.
Form guide
England's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Croatia 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ghana's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Panama 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
England arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for England and 0.8 for Ghana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: England 73%, draw 19%, Ghana 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: England 2–0 Ghana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
England73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @6.20
Ghana8%fair 12.43 · @14.50
3.26Expected goals
2.48England xG
0.78Ghana xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: England 2.5 – 0.8 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✗
73%
1.37
1.20
Double chance
England or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
England – last 5
WWWLD
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Japan
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Ghana – last 5
WDLLL
18 Jun
vs Panama
1–0
W
2 Jun
@ Wales
1–1
D
23 May
@ Mexico
0–2
L
30 Mar
@ Germany
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Austria
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Ghana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win England vs Ghana?
On our numbers England have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ghana 8%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Ghana?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Ghana?
Our predicted score is England 2–0 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is England vs Ghana?
England vs Ghana (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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