Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortugal to win ✓68% · @1.18
Double chancePortugal or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Portugal vs Uzbekistan preview and prediction
The match
Portugal host Uzbekistan in the World Cup on Tuesday 23 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at NRG Stadium.
Form guide
Portugal's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Congo DR 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uzbekistan's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Colombia 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Portugal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Portugal and 0.9 for Uzbekistan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portugal 68%, draw 18%, Uzbekistan 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Portugal 2–0 Uzbekistan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portugal68%fair 1.47 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @6.40
Uzbekistan14%fair 7.03 · @14.50
3.07Expected goals
2.19Portugal xG
0.88Uzbekistan xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portugal 2.2 – 0.9 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal to win✓
68%
1.47
1.18
Double chance
Portugal or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
Portugal ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal / FT Portugal✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.96
–
Form
Portugal – last 5
DWWWD
17 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs Nigeria
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Chile
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ USA
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Mexico
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan – last 4
LLLW
18 Jun
vs Colombia
1–3
L
8 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Canada
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Uzbekistan.
What is the prediction for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
On our numbers Portugal have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Uzbekistan 14%.
How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Our predicted score is Portugal 2–0 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Portugal vs Uzbekistan (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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