Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✓64% · @1.49
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
France vs Senegal preview and prediction
The match
France host Senegal in the World Cup on Tuesday 16 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at MetLife Stadium.
Form guide
France's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Northern Ireland 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Senegal's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Saudi Arabia 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for France and 0.7 for Senegal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: France 64%, draw 24%, Senegal 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: France 2–0 Senegal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
France64%fair 1.57 · @1.49
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @4.20
Senegal12%fair 8.23 · @6.75
2.65Expected goals
1.91France xG
0.73Senegal xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: France 1.9 – 0.7 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
64%
1.57
1.49
Double chance
France or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
France – last 4
WLWW
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Colombia
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Brazil
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 3
DLW
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win France vs Senegal?
On our numbers France have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Senegal 12%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Senegal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is France 2–0 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is France vs Senegal?
France vs Senegal (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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