Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIran to win ✗58% · @1.77
Double chanceIran or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Iran vs New Zealand preview and prediction
The match
Iran host New Zealand in the World Cup on Tuesday 16 June, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at SoFi Stadium.
Form guide
Iran's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Gambia 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
New Zealand's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to England 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Iran arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Iran and 0.7 for New Zealand. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iran 58%, draw 26%, New Zealand 16%.
Safer route: Iran or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Iran 1–0 New Zealand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iran58%fair 1.72 · @1.77
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.45
New Zealand16%fair 6.25 · @4.90
2.28Expected goals
1.58Iran xG
0.70New Zealand xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Iran 1.6 – 0.7 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran to win✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Double chance
Iran or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran / FT Iran✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Iran – last 3
WWL
29 May
vs Gambia
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
27 Mar
vs Nigeria
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
New Zealand – last 4
LLWL
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran and New Zealand.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iran vs New Zealand?
On our numbers Iran have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Zealand 16%.
How many goals will there be in Iran vs New Zealand?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs New Zealand?
Our predicted score is Iran 1–0 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Iran vs New Zealand?
Iran vs New Zealand (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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