Iraq vs Norway prediction & analysis
Norway to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Iraq 0.7 – 2.4 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Norway travel as clear favourites – 73% to win, against 8% for Iraq.
Iraq have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches (2W 1D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Norway have 5 points from their last 4 (1W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (0.7 for Iraq, 2.4 for Norway). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 0–3 (10%).
Our pick is Norway to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.20 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Norway to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | Norway or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Norway ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Norway / FT Norway ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 13% | 7.81 | – |
Form
Iraq – last 4
| 10 Jun | vs Venezuela | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Spain | 1–1 | D |
| 29 May | vs Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Apr | vs Bolivia | 2–1 | W |
Norway – last 4
| 7 Jun | @ Morocco | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Jun | vs Sweden | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Switzerland | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Netherlands | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iraq and Norway.
More World Cup predictions
Iran2
New Zealand2
France3
Senegal1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Iraq vs Norway?
Our pick is Norway to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iraq vs Norway?
On our numbers Iraq have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Norway 73%.
How many goals will there be in Iraq vs Norway?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Iraq vs Norway?
Iraq vs Norway (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.