Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentina to win ✓64% · @1.43
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Argentina vs Algeria preview and prediction
The match
Algeria travel to Arrowhead Stadium in the World Cup on Wednesday 17 June (02:00 WAT) to face Argentina.
Form guide
Argentina's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Iceland 3–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Algeria's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Bolivia 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Argentina and 0.7 for Algeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentina 64%, draw 23%, Algeria 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Argentina 2–0 Algeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentina64%fair 1.57 · @1.43
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.30
Algeria13%fair 7.53 · @7.80
2.63Expected goals
1.88Argentina xG
0.75Algeria xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Argentina 1.9 – 0.7 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win✓
64%
1.57
1.43
Double chance
Argentina or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Argentina ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Argentina – last 4
WWWW
10 Jun
vs Iceland
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Honduras
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Zambia
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Mauritania
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Algeria – last 4
WWDW
11 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Algeria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Argentina vs Algeria?
On our numbers Argentina have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeria 13%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Algeria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Algeria?
Our predicted score is Argentina 2–0 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Argentina vs Algeria?
Argentina vs Algeria (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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