Portugal vs Congo DR prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Portugal 2.2 – 0.7 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Portugal are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 10% for Congo DR.
Portugal have taken 10 points from their last 4 matches (3W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Congo DR have 2 points from their last 3 (0W 2D 1L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Portugal come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.2 for Portugal, 0.7 for Congo DR). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Portugal to win ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | Portugal or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Portugal ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Portugal / FT Portugal ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Portugal – last 4
| 10 Jun | vs Nigeria | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Chile | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Apr | @ USA | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Mexico | 0–0 | D |
Congo DR – last 3
| 9 Jun | vs Chile | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs Denmark | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Jamaica | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Congo DR.
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What is the prediction for Portugal vs Congo DR?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portugal vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Portugal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Congo DR 10%.
How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Portugal vs Congo DR?
Portugal vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.