Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe preview and prediction
The match
Gaziantep FK host Fenerbahçe in the Cup on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Kalyon Stadyumu. Gaziantep FK are 4th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Fenerbahçe sit 2nd on 9 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gaziantep FK's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Samsunspor 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fenerbahçe's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Antalyaspor 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fenerbahçe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Gaziantep FK and 2.1 for Fenerbahçe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gaziantep FK 17%, draw 21%, Fenerbahçe 62%.
Safer route: Fenerbahçe or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gaziantep FK 1–2 Fenerbahçe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gaziantep FK17%fair 5.85 · @4.65
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.95
Fenerbahçe62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
3.11Expected goals
1.02Gaziantep FK xG
2.09Fenerbahçe xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Gaziantep FK 1.0 – 2.1 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Half-time result
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Gaziantep FK – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
@ Samsunspor
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Trabzonspor
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Kocaelispor
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fenerbahçe – last 4
DWDL
1 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Kasımpaşa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe.
What is the prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?
On our numbers Gaziantep FK have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe 62%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Our predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1–2 Fenerbahçe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Kalyon Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
