Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓55% · @1.73
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Erzurumspor FK take on Keçiörengücü on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Erzurumspor FK are 3rd with 6 points from 4 games, while Keçiörengücü sit 8th on 3 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Van Spor Kulübü 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 4.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Keçiörengücü 1–2 Erzurum BB.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.3 for Keçiörengücü. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 55%, draw 25%, Keçiörengücü 20%.
Safer route: Erzurumspor FK or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK55%fair 1.83 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.90
Keçiörengücü20%fair 4.96 · @4.30
3.18Expected goals
1.83Erzurumspor FK xG
1.34Keçiörengücü xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.8 – 1.3 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Keçiörengücü 20%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
