Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Poland to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPoland to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chancePoland or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Poland vs Albania preview and prediction
The match
Albania travel to PGE Narodowy in the World Cup Qualification Europe on Thursday 26 March (20:45 WAT) to face Poland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Poland and 0.6 for Albania. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poland 63%, draw 21%, Albania 16%.
Safer route: Poland or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Poland to win at 1.69 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Poland 1–0 Albania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poland63%fair 1.58 · @1.69
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.45
Albania16%fair 6.37 · @5.60
2.17Expected goals
1.58Poland xG
0.59Albania xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Poland 1.6 – 0.6 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poland to win✓
63%
1.58
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Poland or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poland / FT Poland✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.56
–
Form
Poland
No recent results on record.
Albania
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poland and Albania.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Poland vs Albania?
On our numbers Poland have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Albania 16%.
How many goals will there be in Poland vs Albania?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poland vs Albania?
Our predicted score is Poland 1–0 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Poland vs Albania?
Poland vs Albania (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at PGE Narodowy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Türkiye1
Romania0
Czech Republic2
Rep. Of Ireland2
Denmark4
FYR Macedonia0
Italy2
Northern Ireland0
Slovakia3
Kosovo4
Ukraine1
Sweden3
Wales1
Bosnia & Herzegovina1