Ukraine vs Sweden prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
Value bet: Ukraine to win @ 3.15 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ukraine 1.5 – 1.3 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ukraine hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Sweden.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Ukraine, 1.3 for Sweden). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Ukraine to win at 3.15 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ukraine to win ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | 3.15 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.77 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ukraine / FT Ukraine ✗ | 25% | 4.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.81 | – |
Form
Ukraine
No recent results on record.
Sweden
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ukraine and Sweden.
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Bosnia & Herzegovina1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ukraine vs Sweden?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Ukraine vs Sweden?
On our numbers Ukraine have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sweden 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Sweden?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Ukraine vs Sweden?
Ukraine vs Sweden (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Valencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.