Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBandari to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Bandari vs Mara Sugar preview and prediction
The match
Bandari host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Mbaraki Sports Club. Bandari are 9th with 7 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Mara Sugar sit 6th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bandari's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Police 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mara Sugar's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Sofapaka 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Mara Sugar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Bandari and 0.9 for Mara Sugar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bandari 42%, draw 24%, Mara Sugar 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bandari 1–0 Mara Sugar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bandari42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Mara Sugar34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
1.94Expected goals
1.04Bandari xG
0.89Mara Sugar xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bandari 1.0 – 0.9 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bandari to win✗
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Bandari – last 4
LDWD
1 Mar
@ Police
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Murang'a SEAL
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 3
WDW
2 Mar
vs Sofapaka
3–1
W
26 Feb
@ Bidco United
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ulinzi Stars
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bandari and Mara Sugar.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Bandari have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mara Sugar 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Bandari 1–0 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
Bandari vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Mbaraki Sports Club.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Bidco United1