Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees APS Bomet take on Kariobangi Sharks on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Gusii Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for APS Bomet and 0.7 for Kariobangi Sharks. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: APS Bomet 1–1 Kariobangi Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APS Bomet42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
Kariobangi Sharks29%fair 3.45 · @2.80
1.81Expected goals
1.10APS Bomet xG
0.71Kariobangi Sharks xG
41%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.1 – 0.7 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
APS Bomet
Kariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-44%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.57
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APS Bomet to win✗
42%
2.36
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APS Bomet / FT APS Bomet✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.56
–
Form
APS Bomet – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ KCB
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kariobangi Sharks 29%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–1 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Police2
Bidco United2