Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHomeboyz to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz preview and prediction
The match
Homeboyz travel to Ulinzi Sports Complex in the FKF Premier League on Thursday 26 February (12:00 WAT) to face Ulinzi Stars. Ulinzi Stars are 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Homeboyz sit 17th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Ulinzi Stars and 1.1 for Homeboyz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Homeboyz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulinzi Stars30%fair 3.29 · @3.20
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.90
Homeboyz42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
2.10Expected goals
1.03Ulinzi Stars xG
1.06Homeboyz xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.0 – 1.1 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Ulinzi Stars
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.07
0.91
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Homeboyz.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Homeboyz 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Police2
Kariobangi Sharks1
Bidco United2