Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✓91% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners preview and prediction
The match
Melbourne Victory host Central Coast Mariners in the A League on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 07:10 (WAT) at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Central Coast Mariners sit 11th on 2 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Melbourne Victory's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Macarthur 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Central Coast Mariners's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Adelaide United 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Melbourne Victory and 0.7 for Central Coast Mariners. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Victory to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 2–0 Central Coast Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Victory71%fair 1.40 · @1.42
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.85
Central Coast Mariners9%fair 10.59 · @6.20
3.05Expected goals
2.30Melbourne Victory xG
0.75Central Coast Mariners xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 2.3 – 0.7 Central Coast Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✓
71%
1.40
1.42
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Melbourne Victory ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Melbourne Victory – last 5
WDDWD
15 Mar
vs Macarthur
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Sydney
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Melbourne City
3–1
W
14 Feb
vs Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Central Coast Mariners – last 4
DWDW
14 Mar
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Macarthur
3–1
W
28 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Our pick is Melbourne Victory to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Central Coast Mariners 9%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 2–0 Central Coast Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 07:10 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
