Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Auckland to win @ 1.66 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuckland to win ✗67% · @1.66
Double chanceAuckland or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Auckland vs Macarthur preview and prediction
The match
Auckland host Macarthur in the A League on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Go Media Stadium. Auckland are 8th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Macarthur sit 7th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Auckland's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Newcastle Jets 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macarthur's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Melbourne Victory 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Auckland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Auckland and 0.8 for Macarthur. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Auckland to win at 1.66 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Auckland 2–0 Macarthur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auckland67%fair 1.50 · @1.66
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.95
Macarthur15%fair 6.63 · @4.65
2.92Expected goals
2.07Auckland xG
0.84Macarthur xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auckland 2.1 – 0.8 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland to win✗
67%
1.50
1.66 ▲
Double chance
Auckland or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Half-time result
Auckland ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland / FT Auckland✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Auckland – last 5
WDWWD
14 Mar
@ Newcastle Jets
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Perth Glory
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Melbourne City
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Wellington Phoenix
5–0
W
17 Feb
@ Sydney
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Macarthur – last 5
LLLLD
15 Mar
@ Melbourne Victory
1–4
L
4 Mar
vs Central Coast Mariners
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Newcastle Jets
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Bangkok United
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auckland and Macarthur.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auckland vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Auckland have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Macarthur 15%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland vs Macarthur?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Auckland 2–0 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Auckland vs Macarthur?
Auckland vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Go Media Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
