Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMingəçevir to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu preview and prediction
The match
Difai Ağsu travel to face Mingəçevir in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 16 April (13:00 WAT).
Form guide
Mingəçevir's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Şimal 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Difai Ağsu's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Şahdağ 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mingəçevir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Mingəçevir and 0.9 for Difai Ağsu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mingəçevir 66%, draw 19%, Difai Ağsu 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mingəçevir to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mingəçevir 2–0 Difai Ağsu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mingəçevir66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.50
Difai Ağsu15%fair 6.49 · @8.00
3.12Expected goals
2.18Mingəçevir xG
0.94Difai Ağsu xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mingəçevir 2.2 – 0.9 Difai Ağsu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mingəçevir to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Mingəçevir or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Mingəçevir ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Form
Mingəçevir – last 6
WWDLWW
9 Apr
@ Şimal
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Safa Baku
5–2
W
18 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Səbail
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs MOIK
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Difai Ağsu – last 6
LLDLLL
9 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Zaqatala
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Cəbrayıl
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Safa Baku
1–8
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mingəçevir and Difai Ağsu.
What is the prediction for Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Our pick is Mingəçevir to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Difai Ağsu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 2–0 Difai Ağsu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Safa Baku0