Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 23.94
Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Baku Sportinq take on Safa Baku on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Baku Sportinq's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat MOIK 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Safa Baku's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Səbail 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Safa Baku arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Baku Sportinq and 1.6 for Safa Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baku Sportinq 30%, draw 21%, Safa Baku 49%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Baku Sportinq 1–2 Safa Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baku Sportinq30%fair 3.29 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Safa Baku49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
2.72Expected goals
1.16Baku Sportinq xG
1.56Safa Baku xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 1.2 – 1.6 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Safa Baku to win✗
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
4%
23.94
–
Form
Baku Sportinq – last 6
WLDWLD
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Səbail
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Safa Baku – last 6
WLWWWW
9 Apr
vs Səbail
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
2–5
L
18 Mar
vs Şahdağ
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Şimal
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Şahdağ
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Difai Ağsu
8–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baku Sportinq and Safa Baku.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Safa Baku 49%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 1–2 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?
Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Difai Ağsu1