Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Villarrubia vs Tarancón preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 sees Villarrubia take on Tarancón on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Campo Nuevo Municipal. Villarrubia are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Tarancón sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Villarrubia's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to San Clemente 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Villarrubia and 1.3 for Tarancón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Villarrubia 1–1 Tarancón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarrubia34%fair 2.91 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Tarancón43%fair 2.30 · @2.38
2.37Expected goals
1.09Villarrubia xG
1.28Tarancón xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Villarrubia 1.1 – 1.3 Tarancón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tarancón to win✗
43%
2.30
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tarancón / FT Tarancón✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.35
–
Form
Villarrubia – last 4
LDWL
15 Mar
@ San Clemente
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Illescas
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Manchego
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villarrobledo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Tarancón – last 2
LW
15 Mar
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Illescas
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarrubia and Tarancón.
What is the prediction for Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
On our numbers Villarrubia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tarancón 43%.
How many goals will there be in Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Our predicted score is Villarrubia 1–1 Tarancón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Villarrubia vs Tarancón (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Nuevo Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
