Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Villarrobledo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Solana to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
La Solana vs Villarrobledo preview and prediction
The match
La Solana host Villarrobledo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Moheda. La Solana are 14th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Villarrobledo sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
La Solana's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Albacete II 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Villarrobledo's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Toledo 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarrobledo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for La Solana and 1.0 for Villarrobledo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Solana 38%, draw 26%, Villarrobledo 36%.
Value angle: Villarrobledo to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: La Solana 1–0 Villarrobledo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Solana38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Villarrobledo36%fair 2.78 · @3.30
2.03Expected goals
1.04La Solana xG
0.99Villarrobledo xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: La Solana 1.0 – 1.0 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Solana to win✗
38%
2.60
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
La Solana – last 6
LLDLLD
29 Mar
@ Albacete II
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Sonseca
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Guadalajara II
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarrobledo – last 5
DWDWW
29 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Cazalegas
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Marchamalo
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Villarrubia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Solana and Villarrobledo.
What is the prediction for La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
On our numbers La Solana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villarrobledo 36%.
How many goals will there be in La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
Our predicted score is La Solana 1–0 Villarrobledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
La Solana vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Moheda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
