Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Villarrobledo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarrobledo to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceVillarrobledo or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo preview and prediction
The match
Villarrobledo travel to Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 22 March (12:00 WAT) to face Cazalegas.
Form guide
Cazalegas's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat La Solana 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Villarrobledo's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Huracán Balazote 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Villarrobledo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Cazalegas and 1.7 for Villarrobledo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Villarrobledo to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villarrobledo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cazalegas 0–1 Villarrobledo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cazalegas14%fair 6.97 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Villarrobledo63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
2.31Expected goals
0.63Cazalegas xG
1.68Villarrobledo xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Cazalegas 0.6 – 1.7 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrobledo to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Villarrobledo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrobledo / FT Villarrobledo✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Cazalegas – last 4
WLLD
8 Mar
vs La Solana
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toledo
0–6
L
22 Feb
@ Sonseca
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Villarrobledo – last 3
DWW
15 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Marchamalo
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Villarrubia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cazalegas and Villarrobledo.
What is the prediction for Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?
Our pick is Villarrobledo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?
On our numbers Cazalegas have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villarrobledo 63%.
How many goals will there be in Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?
Our predicted score is Cazalegas 0–1 Villarrobledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?
Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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