Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Sonseca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Solana to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Sonseca vs La Solana preview and prediction
The match
Sonseca host La Solana in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Martín Juanes.
Form guide
Sonseca's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Pedroñeras 0–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
La Solana's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Toledo 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sonseca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Sonseca and 1.1 for La Solana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sonseca 35%, draw 24%, La Solana 40%.
Value angle: Sonseca to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sonseca 1–1 La Solana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sonseca35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
La Solana40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
2.18Expected goals
1.04Sonseca xG
1.14La Solana xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sonseca 1.0 – 1.1 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Solana to win✗
40%
2.48
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Solana / FT La Solana✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Sonseca – last 5
LDLWD
15 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Toledo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Calvo Sotelo
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Cazalegas
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ San Clemente
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
La Solana – last 4
DLLD
15 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Guadalajara II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sonseca and La Solana.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sonseca vs La Solana?
On our numbers Sonseca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and La Solana 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sonseca vs La Solana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sonseca vs La Solana?
Our predicted score is Sonseca 1–1 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sonseca vs La Solana?
Sonseca vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martín Juanes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.