Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Platges Calvià vs Formentera preview and prediction
The match
Formentera travel to Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 on Wednesday 4 March (17:00 WAT) to face Platges Calvià. Platges Calvià are 1st with 24 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Formentera sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Platges Calvià and 1.0 for Formentera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Platges Calvià 1–0 Formentera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platges Calvià44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Formentera32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
2.38Expected goals
1.41Platges Calvià xG
0.97Formentera xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Platges Calvià 1.4 – 1.0 Formentera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Platges Calvià
Formentera
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+31%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.93
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platges Calvià to win✗
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platges Calvià / FT Platges Calvià✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.63
–
Form
Platges Calvià – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Mallorca II
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Formentera – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Son Cladera
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platges Calvià and Formentera.
What is the prediction for Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
On our numbers Platges Calvià have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Formentera 32%.
How many goals will there be in Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Our predicted score is Platges Calvià 1–0 Formentera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Platges Calvià vs Formentera (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Collerense1