Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Vimenor to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVimenor to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceVimenor or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.54
Revilla vs Vimenor preview and prediction
The match
Vimenor travel to Estadio Municipal in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 22 March (12:30 WAT) to face Revilla. Revilla are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Vimenor sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Revilla's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Tropezón 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vimenor's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Guarnizo 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vimenor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Revilla and 1.8 for Vimenor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Revilla 17%, draw 20%, Vimenor 63%.
Safer route: Vimenor or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Vimenor to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vimenor or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Revilla 0–1 Vimenor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Revilla17%fair 5.75 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
Vimenor63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
2.62Expected goals
0.80Revilla xG
1.82Vimenor xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Revilla 0.8 – 1.8 Vimenor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vimenor to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Vimenor or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Vimenor ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vimenor / FT Vimenor✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
Revilla – last 3
LLL
15 Mar
@ Tropezón
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Guarnizo
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vimenor – last 4
DWWL
15 Mar
vs Guarnizo
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Selaya
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Noja
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Laredo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Revilla and Vimenor.
Our pick is Vimenor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Revilla vs Vimenor?
On our numbers Revilla have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vimenor 63%.
How many goals will there be in Revilla vs Vimenor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Revilla vs Vimenor?
Our predicted score is Revilla 0–1 Vimenor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Revilla vs Vimenor?
Revilla vs Vimenor (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Torrelavega2