Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCayón to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceCayón or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Selaya vs Cayón preview and prediction
The match
Selaya host Cayón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Castañal. Selaya are 16th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Cayón sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Selaya's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Escobedo 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Selaya and 1.6 for Cayón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Selaya 15%, draw 25%, Cayón 60%.
Safer route: Cayón or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cayón to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Selaya 0–1 Cayón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Selaya15%fair 6.62 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Cayón60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
2.33Expected goals
0.69Selaya xG
1.64Cayón xG
41%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Selaya 0.7 – 1.6 Cayón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cayón to win✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Cayón or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cayón / FT Cayón✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Selaya – last 4
WLLL
8 Mar
vs Escobedo
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vimenor
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Guarnizo
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Tropezón
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cayón – last 2
LL
15 Mar
vs Laredo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Torina
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Selaya and Cayón.
Our pick is Cayón to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Selaya vs Cayón?
On our numbers Selaya have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cayón 60%.
How many goals will there be in Selaya vs Cayón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Selaya vs Cayón?
Our predicted score is Selaya 0–1 Cayón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Selaya vs Cayón?
Selaya vs Cayón (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Castañal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Torrelavega2