Double chanceGimnástica Torrelavega or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.49
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón preview and prediction
The match
Gimnástica Torrelavega host Tropezón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Malecón.
Form guide
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Revilla 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tropezón's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Revilla 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnástica Torrelavega arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Gimnástica Torrelavega and 0.6 for Tropezón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Gimnástica Torrelavega to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–0 Tropezón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega69%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Tropezón9%fair 10.62 · @6.00
2.54Expected goals
1.94Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
0.59Tropezón xG
43%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.9 – 0.6 Tropezón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Double chance
Gimnástica Torrelavega or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Gimnástica Torrelavega ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnástica Torrelavega / FT Gimnástica Torrelavega✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.49
–
Form
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Revilla
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Guarnizo
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Colindres
6–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tropezón – last 5
WDLWL
15 Mar
vs Revilla
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs Colindres
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Barquereño
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Selaya
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Laredo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Tropezón.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón?
Our pick is Gimnástica Torrelavega to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tropezón 9%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–0 Tropezón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Tropezón (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Malecón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
