Escobedo travel to Campo Riomar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Wednesday 25 February (20:00 WAT) to face Castro. Castro are 12th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Escobedo sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Castro and 1.7 for Escobedo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castro 32%, draw 21%, Escobedo 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Castro 1–1 Escobedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castro32%fair 3.10 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Escobedo47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
3.00Expected goals
1.33Castro xG
1.67Escobedo xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Castro 1.3 – 1.7 Escobedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Escobedo to win✓
47%
2.14
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Escobedo / FT Escobedo✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.85
–
Form
Castro – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ Noja
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlético Albericia
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Escobedo – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Bezana
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro and Escobedo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Castro vs Escobedo?
On our numbers Castro have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Escobedo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Castro vs Escobedo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro vs Escobedo?
Our predicted score is Castro 1–1 Escobedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Castro vs Escobedo?
Castro vs Escobedo (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Riomar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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