Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Praviano to win @ 2.75 – our chance 45% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPraviano to win ✓45% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 8.00
Siero vs Praviano preview and prediction
The match
Siero host Praviano in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Estadio El Bayu. Siero are 11th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Praviano sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Siero's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to San Martín 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Praviano's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Navarro 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Praviano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Siero and 1.3 for Praviano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Siero 33%, draw 23%, Praviano 45%.
Value angle: Praviano to win at 2.75 – 45% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Siero 1–1 Praviano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siero33%fair 3.05 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Praviano45%fair 2.24 · @2.75
2.33Expected goals
1.04Siero xG
1.29Praviano xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Siero 1.0 – 1.3 Praviano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Praviano to win✓
45%
2.24
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Praviano / FT Praviano✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
8.00
–
Form
Siero – last 5
LLDLD
22 Mar
vs San Martín
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–5
L
8 Mar
vs Avilés Stadium
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Llanera
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Llanes
2–2
D
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Praviano – last 6
DDWLWL
29 Mar
vs Navarro
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Gijón Industrial
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Tuilla
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Lenense
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ San Martín
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Covadonga
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siero and Praviano.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Siero vs Praviano?
On our numbers Siero have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Praviano 45%.
How many goals will there be in Siero vs Praviano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siero vs Praviano?
Our predicted score is Siero 1–1 Praviano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Siero vs Praviano?
Siero vs Praviano (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Bayu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tuilla3
Llanera1