Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Mosconia vs Covadonga preview and prediction
The match
Mosconia host Covadonga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo. Mosconia are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Covadonga sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Mosconia's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Avilés Stadium 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Covadonga's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Caudal 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Covadonga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Mosconia and 1.5 for Covadonga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Mosconia 1–1 Covadonga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mosconia29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Covadonga49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
2.61Expected goals
1.08Mosconia xG
1.53Covadonga xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mosconia 1.1 – 1.5 Covadonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Covadonga to win✓
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Covadonga / FT Covadonga✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.89
–
Form
Mosconia – last 5
LDWLL
29 Mar
@ Avilés Stadium
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Llanera
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Llanes
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Sporting Gijón II
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colunga
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Covadonga – last 6
LWLWWD
22 Mar
@ Caudal
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Siero
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ Navarro
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Gijón Industrial
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Praviano
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lenense
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosconia and Covadonga.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mosconia vs Covadonga?
On our numbers Mosconia have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Covadonga 49%.
How many goals will there be in Mosconia vs Covadonga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosconia vs Covadonga?
Our predicted score is Mosconia 1–1 Covadonga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mosconia vs Covadonga?
Mosconia vs Covadonga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tuilla3
Llanera1