Value bet: Tuilla to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuilla to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Tuilla vs Llanes preview and prediction
The match
Llanes travel to Estadio El Candín in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Thursday 2 April (16:00 WAT) to face Tuilla.
Form guide
Tuilla's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Gijón Industrial 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llanes's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to L'Entregu 3–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Tuilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Tuilla and 1.3 for Llanes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tuilla 44%, draw 22%, Llanes 34%.
Value angle: Tuilla to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Tuilla 2–1 Llanes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tuilla44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Llanes34%fair 2.96 · @2.55
2.74Expected goals
1.49Tuilla xG
1.26Llanes xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tuilla 1.5 – 1.3 Llanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tuilla to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tuilla / FT Tuilla✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Tuilla – last 6
WWLLWL
29 Mar
@ Gijón Industrial
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sporting Gijón II
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Praviano
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs L'Entregu
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lenense
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ San Martín
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Llanes – last 3
LLD
22 Mar
@ L'Entregu
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Mosconia
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Siero
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuilla and Llanes.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Tuilla vs Llanes?
On our numbers Tuilla have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llanes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tuilla vs Llanes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuilla vs Llanes?
Our predicted score is Tuilla 2–1 Llanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tuilla vs Llanes?
Tuilla vs Llanes (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Candín.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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