Celaya travel to Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 29 March (19:00 WAT) to face Montañeses.
Form guide
Montañeses's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Racing de Veracruz 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celaya's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Inter Playa del Carmen 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Montañeses and 1.4 for Celaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Montañeses 1–1 Celaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montañeses39%fair 2.53 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Celaya38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
2.77Expected goals
1.40Montañeses xG
1.37Celaya xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Montañeses 1.4 – 1.4 Celaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañeses to win✓
39%
2.53
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañeses / FT Montañeses✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Montañeses – last 5
LLDWW
15 Mar
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
10 Mar
@ Tapachula
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Deportiva Venados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Neza
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Mexicali FC
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Celaya – last 3
DWL
22 Mar
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montañeses and Celaya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montañeses vs Celaya?
On our numbers Montañeses have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celaya 38%.
How many goals will there be in Montañeses vs Celaya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañeses vs Celaya?
Our predicted score is Montañeses 1–1 Celaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montañeses vs Celaya?
Montañeses vs Celaya (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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