Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGavilanes FC Matamoros to win48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.21
Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros preview and prediction
The match
Cordobés host Gavilanes FC Matamoros in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Los Pinos.
Form guide
Gavilanes FC Matamoros's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Zap 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Cordobés and 1.5 for Gavilanes FC Matamoros. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cordobés 32%, draw 19%, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cordobés 1–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cordobés32%fair 3.11 · @2.65
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.65
Gavilanes FC Matamoros48%fair 2.06 · @2.20
2.61Expected goals
1.13Cordobés xG
1.48Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cordobés 1.1 – 1.5 Gavilanes FC Matamoros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win
48%
2.06
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavilanes FC Matamoros / FT Gavilanes FC Matamoros
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
9.21
–
Form
Cordobés – last 1
L
15 Mar
@ Lobos ULMX
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros – last 4
LWLW
15 Mar
vs Deportivo Zap
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Lobos ULMX
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Correcaminos UAT II
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cordobés and Gavilanes FC Matamoros.
What is the prediction for Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?
On our numbers Cordobés have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gavilanes FC Matamoros 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?
Our predicted score is Cordobés 1–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?
Cordobés vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Pinos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigres de Alica3
UA Zacatecas2
Lobos ULMX1
Zitacuaro0
Montañeses5
Celaya1