Value bet: Lobos ULMX to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLobos ULMX to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.18
Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro preview and prediction
The match
Zitacuaro travel to Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 29 March (02:00 WAT) to face Lobos ULMX.
Form guide
Lobos ULMX's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Atletico Hidalgo 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Lobos ULMX and 0.9 for Zitacuaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Lobos ULMX to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lobos ULMX 1–0 Zitacuaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos ULMX57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.30
Zitacuaro23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
2.42Expected goals
1.56Lobos ULMX xG
0.86Zitacuaro xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lobos ULMX 1.6 – 0.9 Zitacuaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lobos ULMX to win✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos ULMX / FT Lobos ULMX✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.18
–
Form
Lobos ULMX – last 4
WWLD
20 Mar
@ Atletico Hidalgo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Cordobés
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zitacuaro – last 1
L
24 Mar
vs Real Apodaca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos ULMX and Zitacuaro.
What is the prediction for Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro?
On our numbers Lobos ULMX have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zitacuaro 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro?
Our predicted score is Lobos ULMX 1–0 Zitacuaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro?
Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigres de Alica3
UA Zacatecas2
Montañeses5
Celaya1
Cordobés
Gavilanes FC Matamoros