Value bet: Savoia to win @ 1.86 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSavoia to win ✓61% · @1.86
Double chanceSavoia or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Vibonese vs Savoia preview and prediction
The match
Vibonese host Savoia in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Vibonese and 1.8 for Savoia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vibonese 19%, draw 20%, Savoia 61%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Savoia to win at 1.86 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Vibonese 0–1 Savoia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vibonese19%fair 5.16 · @3.94
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.35
Savoia61%fair 1.64 · @1.86
2.60Expected goals
0.84Vibonese xG
1.76Savoia xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vibonese 0.8 – 1.8 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Savoia to win✓
61%
1.64
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Savoia or draw✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Half-time result
Savoia ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Savoia / FT Savoia✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Vibonese – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Gelbison
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Nissa
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CastrumFavara
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Savoia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Vibonese vs Savoia?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Savoia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vibonese vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is Vibonese 0–1 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vibonese vs Savoia?
Vibonese vs Savoia (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gelbison1
Messina1