CastrumFavara vs Messina Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 1 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMessina to win ✗46% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.19

CastrumFavara vs Messina preview and prediction

The match

CastrumFavara host Messina in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for CastrumFavara and 1.2 for Messina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: CastrumFavara 32%, draw 22%, Messina 46%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: CastrumFavara 0–1 Messina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CastrumFavara32%fair 3.14 · @3.00

Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20

Messina46%fair 2.16 · @2.15

2.18Expected goals

0.95CastrumFavara xG

1.24Messina xG

46%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%

1–113%

0–011%

1–011%

0–29%

1–28%

From our goals model: CastrumFavara 0.9 – 1.2 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Messina to win ✗	46%	2.16	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.28
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Messina / FT Messina ✗	25%	4.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	14%	7.19	–

Form

CastrumFavara – last 2

22 Feb	@ Ragusa	1–2	L
15 Feb	vs Savoia	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Messina – last 2

22 Feb	vs Sambiase	0–1	L
15 Feb	@ Reggina	1–1	D

0.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	11	8	2	1	+21	26
2	Sambiase	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Vibonese	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Calcio Avola	11	6	1	4	+1	19
5	Milazzo	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Digiesse PraiaTortora	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Igea Virtus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Gela	11	4	4	3	+4	15
9	Siracusa	11	6	3	2	+8	14
10	AC Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Licata	11	4	2	5	-11	14
12	Modica	11	4	1	6	+1	13
13	Nissa	11	3	3	5	+1	12
14	Trapani 1905	11	4	2	5	-5	9
15	CastrumFavara	11	2	2	7	-7	8
16	Vigor Lamezia	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Ragusa	11	0	3	8	-14	3
18	Enna	11	0	3	8	-23	3

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+14

Digiesse PraiaTortora

-1

-11

-5

-7

-10

-14

-23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CastrumFavara vs Messina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win CastrumFavara vs Messina?

On our numbers CastrumFavara have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Messina 46%.

How many goals will there be in CastrumFavara vs Messina?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CastrumFavara vs Messina?

Our predicted score is CastrumFavara 0–1 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is CastrumFavara vs Messina?

CastrumFavara vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes