Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMessina to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Messina vs Sambiase preview and prediction
The match
Sambiase travel to Stadio San Filippo in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 22 February (15:00 WAT) to face Messina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Messina and 1.0 for Sambiase. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Messina 40%, draw 24%, Sambiase 36%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Messina 1–0 Sambiase. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Messina40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Sambiase36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
2.04Expected goals
1.06Messina xG
0.98Sambiase xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Messina 1.1 – 1.0 Sambiase expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Messina to win✗
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Messina – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sambiase – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Igea Virtus
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Messina and Sambiase.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Messina vs Sambiase?
On our numbers Messina have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sambiase 36%.
How many goals will there be in Messina vs Sambiase?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Messina vs Sambiase?
Our predicted score is Messina 1–0 Sambiase, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Messina vs Sambiase?
Messina vs Sambiase (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Filippo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gelbison4