Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Gelbison to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGelbison to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Vibonese vs Gelbison preview and prediction
The match
Vibonese host Gelbison in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Vibonese and 1.3 for Gelbison. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%.
Value angle: Gelbison to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Vibonese 1–1 Gelbison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vibonese31%fair 3.22 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Gelbison46%fair 2.15 · @2.50
2.34Expected goals
1.01Vibonese xG
1.33Gelbison xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Vibonese 1.0 – 1.3 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✓
46%
2.15
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Vibonese – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Gelbison.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vibonese vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gelbison 46%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vibonese vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Vibonese 1–1 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vibonese vs Gelbison?
Vibonese vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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