Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
AC Palermo vs Gela preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees AC Palermo take on Gela on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Centro Universitario Sportivo. AC Palermo are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Gela sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for AC Palermo and 0.9 for Gela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Palermo 58%, draw 22%, Gela 20%.
Safer route: AC Palermo or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AC Palermo to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: AC Palermo 1–0 Gela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Palermo58%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Gela20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.70AC Palermo xG
0.88Gela xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: AC Palermo 1.7 – 0.9 Gela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Palermo to win✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Double chance
AC Palermo or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Palermo / FT AC Palermo✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
AC Palermo
No recent results on record.
Gela – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Acireale
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Palermo and Gela.
Our pick is AC Palermo to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AC Palermo vs Gela?
On our numbers AC Palermo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gela 20%.
How many goals will there be in AC Palermo vs Gela?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Palermo vs Gela?
Our predicted score is AC Palermo 1–0 Gela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Palermo vs Gela?
AC Palermo vs Gela (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Centro Universitario Sportivo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gelbison4
Messina0