Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Manfredonia vs Gravina preview and prediction
The match
Manfredonia host Gravina in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Miramare. Manfredonia are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gravina sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Manfredonia's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Città di Fasano 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Gravina's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Barletta 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gravina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Manfredonia and 1.2 for Gravina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Manfredonia 1–1 Gravina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manfredonia40%fair 2.51 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.15
Gravina36%fair 2.77 · @2.92
2.42Expected goals
1.25Manfredonia xG
1.17Gravina xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manfredonia 1.2 – 1.2 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manfredonia to win✗
40%
2.51
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manfredonia / FT Manfredonia✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.02
–
Form
Manfredonia – last 5
LWLWL
22 Mar
@ Città di Fasano
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Paganese
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Real Normanna
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Ferrandina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Martina Franca
3–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 5
LLWWW
22 Mar
vs Barletta
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Sarnese
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Pompei
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Francavilla
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manfredonia and Gravina.
What is the prediction for Manfredonia vs Gravina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Manfredonia vs Gravina?
On our numbers Manfredonia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gravina 36%.
How many goals will there be in Manfredonia vs Gravina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manfredonia vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Manfredonia 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Manfredonia vs Gravina?
Manfredonia vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Miramare.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pompei1
Città di Fasano1
Afragolese0
Ferrandina1
Paganese1
Barletta1