Value bet: Francavilla to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNola 1925 to win ✗47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Nola 1925 vs Francavilla preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Nola 1925 take on Francavilla on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Nola 1925 and 1.1 for Francavilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nola 1925 47%, draw 22%, Francavilla 31%.
Value angle: Francavilla to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Nola 1925 1–0 Francavilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nola 192547%fair 2.11 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Francavilla31%fair 3.25 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.40Nola 1925 xG
1.06Francavilla xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nola 1925 1.4 – 1.1 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nola 1925 to win✗
47%
2.11
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nola 1925 / FT Nola 1925✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Nola 1925 – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Real Acerrana
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Fidelis Andria
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Francavilla – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Real Normanna
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Gravina
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nola 1925 and Francavilla.
What is the prediction for Nola 1925 vs Francavilla?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Nola 1925 vs Francavilla?
On our numbers Nola 1925 have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Francavilla 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nola 1925 vs Francavilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nola 1925 vs Francavilla?
Our predicted score is Nola 1925 1–0 Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nola 1925 vs Francavilla?
Nola 1925 vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Fasano1
Sarnese1
Ferrandina0
Paganese0
Barletta2