Double chanceCittà di Fasano or draw87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.53
Città di Fasano vs Sarnese preview and prediction
The match
Città di Fasano host Sarnese in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Città di Fasano and 0.7 for Sarnese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Città di Fasano 65%, draw 23%, Sarnese 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Città di Fasano to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Città di Fasano 1–0 Sarnese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Città di Fasano65%fair 1.55 · @1.74
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Sarnese13%fair 7.94 · @4.23
2.68Expected goals
1.94Città di Fasano xG
0.74Sarnese xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Città di Fasano 1.9 – 0.7 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Fasano to win
65%
1.55
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Città di Fasano or draw
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Città di Fasano ahead at half-time
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Fasano / FT Città di Fasano
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.53
–
Form
Città di Fasano – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Fidelis Andria
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Virtus Francavilla
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarnese – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Paganese
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Real Normanna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Fasano and Sarnese.
What is the prediction for Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Our pick is Città di Fasano to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
On our numbers Città di Fasano have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarnese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Our predicted score is Città di Fasano 1–0 Sarnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Città di Fasano vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nola 19251
Francavilla2
Real Normanna1
Manfredonia0
Martina Franca1
Ferrandina0
Paganese0
Barletta2