Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Unipomezia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Unipomezia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnipomezia to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceUnipomezia or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.89
Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Castelfidardo Calcio travel to Stadio Comunale in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT) to face Unipomezia.
Form guide
Unipomezia's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Ostia Mare 0–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castelfidardo Calcio's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Chieti 1–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Unipomezia and 0.9 for Castelfidardo Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unipomezia 57%, draw 22%, Castelfidardo Calcio 21%.
Safer route: Unipomezia or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Unipomezia to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Unipomezia or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Unipomezia 1–0 Castelfidardo Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unipomezia57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Castelfidardo Calcio21%fair 4.67 · @3.55
2.58Expected goals
1.68Unipomezia xG
0.90Castelfidardo Calcio xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Unipomezia 1.7 – 0.9 Castelfidardo Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unipomezia to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Unipomezia or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unipomezia / FT Unipomezia✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
Unipomezia – last 5
LWWDW
22 Mar
@ Ostia Mare
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Recanatese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Ancona
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Victor San Marino
4–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Castelfidardo Calcio – last 5
WWLWL
22 Mar
vs Chieti
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Recanatese
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Ostia Mare
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Victor San Marino
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unipomezia and Castelfidardo Calcio.
What is the prediction for Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Our pick is Unipomezia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
On our numbers Unipomezia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Castelfidardo Calcio 21%.
How many goals will there be in Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Our predicted score is Unipomezia 1–0 Castelfidardo Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Unipomezia vs Castelfidardo Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Giulianova1
Atletico Ascoli0
Vigor Senigallia0
Ancona1
Chieti2
Recanatese1
Sammaurese0
Ostia Mare1
Teramo1
Notaresco0
Sora0
Termoli Calcio1