Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstia Mare to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Sammaurese take on Ostia Mare on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Campo Da Calcio Macrelli.
Form guide
Sammaurese's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Notaresco 0–4 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Ostia Mare's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Teramo 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostia Mare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Sammaurese and 2.1 for Ostia Mare. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sammaurese 13%, draw 23%, Ostia Mare 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ostia Mare to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sammaurese 0–2 Ostia Mare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sammaurese13%fair 7.47 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.10
Ostia Mare63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
2.99Expected goals
0.89Sammaurese xG
2.10Ostia Mare xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sammaurese 0.9 – 2.1 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostia Mare to win✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Ostia Mare or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Ostia Mare ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
Sammaurese – last 5
LLWLD
22 Mar
@ Notaresco
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Fossombrone
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Sora
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ostia Mare – last 5
DWWWW
25 Mar
@ Teramo
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Unipomezia
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Castelfidardo Calcio
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Fossombrone
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Recanatese
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sammaurese and Ostia Mare.
What is the prediction for Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?
Our pick is Ostia Mare to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Sammaurese have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ostia Mare 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Sammaurese 0–2 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?
Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Da Calcio Macrelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Giulianova1
Atletico Ascoli0
Vigor Senigallia0
Ancona1
Chieti2
Recanatese1
Teramo1
Notaresco0
Unipomezia3
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Sora0
Termoli Calcio1