Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAncona to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.23
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona preview and prediction
The match
Vigor Senigallia host Ancona in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli. Vigor Senigallia are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Ancona sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vigor Senigallia's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Victor San Marino 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Ancona's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Sora 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Vigor Senigallia and 1.7 for Ancona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Ancona to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vigor Senigallia 0–1 Ancona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vigor Senigallia15%fair 6.79 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Ancona63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
2.36Expected goals
0.66Vigor Senigallia xG
1.70Ancona xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Vigor Senigallia 0.7 – 1.7 Ancona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ancona to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Ancona or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ancona / FT Ancona✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.23
–
Form
Vigor Senigallia – last 5
WDDWD
22 Mar
@ Victor San Marino
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs L'Aquila
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Termoli Calcio
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sammaurese
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ancona – last 6
DWWDLW
22 Mar
vs Sora
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Real Giulianova
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Maceratese
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Unipomezia
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Pistoiese
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Chieti
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Senigallia and Ancona.
What is the prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Our pick is Ancona to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
On our numbers Vigor Senigallia have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ancona 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Our predicted score is Vigor Senigallia 0–1 Ancona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chieti2
Sammaurese0
Ostia Mare1
Unipomezia3
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Sora0