Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.59Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFossombrone to win ✓63% · @1.59
Double chanceFossombrone or draw ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Fossombrone vs Sammaurese preview and prediction
The match
Fossombrone host Sammaurese in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone.
Form guide
Fossombrone's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Notaresco 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sammaurese's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Teramo 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sammaurese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Fossombrone and 0.7 for Sammaurese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Fossombrone to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.59. Predicted score: Fossombrone 1–0 Sammaurese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fossombrone63%fair 1.58 · @1.59
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.80
Sammaurese17%fair 5.72 · @5.02
2.46Expected goals
1.73Fossombrone xG
0.73Sammaurese xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fossombrone 1.7 – 0.7 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fossombrone to win✓
63%
1.58
1.59
Double chance
Fossombrone or draw✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Fossombrone ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fossombrone / FT Fossombrone✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Fossombrone – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Teramo
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Sora
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fossombrone and Sammaurese.
What is the prediction for Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Our pick is Fossombrone to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Fossombrone have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sammaurese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Fossombrone 1–0 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Fossombrone vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castelfidardo Calcio2
Sora0
Unipomezia1