Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese preview and prediction
The match
Castelfidardo Calcio host Recanatese in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini.
Form guide
Castelfidardo Calcio's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Ostia Mare 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Recanatese's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Unipomezia 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Castelfidardo Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Castelfidardo Calcio and 1.3 for Recanatese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castelfidardo Calcio 40%, draw 24%, Recanatese 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.82.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Recanatese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castelfidardo Calcio40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Recanatese36%fair 2.80 · @2.75
2.67Expected goals
1.38Castelfidardo Calcio xG
1.29Recanatese xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Castelfidardo Calcio 1.4 – 1.3 Recanatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castelfidardo Calcio to win✓
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castelfidardo Calcio / FT Castelfidardo Calcio✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Castelfidardo Calcio – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
@ Ostia Mare
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Victor San Marino
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Recanatese – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
vs Unipomezia
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Ostia Mare
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castelfidardo Calcio and Recanatese.
What is the prediction for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese?
On our numbers Castelfidardo Calcio have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Recanatese 36%.
How many goals will there be in Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese?
Our predicted score is Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Recanatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese?
Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sora0
Sammaurese1
Unipomezia1