Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
2
Value bet: Termoli Calcio to win @ 3.34 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaceratese to win ✗45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Termoli Calcio travel to Stadio Helvia Recina in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT) to face Maceratese. Maceratese are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Termoli Calcio sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Termoli Calcio's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Vigor Senigallia 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Maceratese and 1.0 for Termoli Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maceratese 45%, draw 22%, Termoli Calcio 33%.
Value angle: Termoli Calcio to win at 3.34 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Maceratese 1–0 Termoli Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maceratese45%fair 2.23 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Termoli Calcio33%fair 2.99 · @3.34
2.33Expected goals
1.28Maceratese xG
1.05Termoli Calcio xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Maceratese 1.3 – 1.0 Termoli Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maceratese to win✗
45%
2.23
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maceratese / FT Maceratese✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Maceratese – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Ancona
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Notaresco
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Termoli Calcio – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Chieti
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Giulianova
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maceratese and Termoli Calcio.
What is the prediction for Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
On our numbers Maceratese have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Termoli Calcio 33%.
How many goals will there be in Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
Our predicted score is Maceratese 1–0 Termoli Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Helvia Recina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.